Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 27 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 05:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 9 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 July 2026 — 7 others scored the same.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 14 at 7:43PM MST until July 14 at 10:45PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 34.1731, -110.4896 |
| Nearest City | Payson (78 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-15T02:43:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e469f6d9515e7b59cc75aa2c4b72a31c |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-15T02:43:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-15T03:56:35.429Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Gila, AZ; Navajo, AZ; Navajo, AZ |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 14 at 7:43PM MST until July 14 at 10:45PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ |
| Expires | 2026-07-14T22:45:00-07:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Flagstaff AZ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e469f6d9515e7b59cc75aa2c4b72a31c2003218c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7d1199f3b0ec8016a3946ea385309bf4b7e33d7d.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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